Focus on Thursday, May 1st

Looks like a potential outbreak of severe weather if the latest GFS and ECMWF runs are anything close to accurate. Anywhere from eastern Nebraska/western Iowa south to northeast Oklahoma are areas of interest. I won't go into much detail until the NAM gets ahold of things.

Tornado in west TX

Report from Wednesday's chase here:

http://www.capturethestorm.com/42308.htm

First attempt at Lightning

A pic from the house of a storm that went up late yesterday evening. Looking south from Norman...

Threat for Supercells in OK/KS Late this Evening

Looks like at least a decent shot of storms very late today anywhere form Clinton, OK northeast to about Wichita, KS. Marginal shear profiles but high instability will likely exist over much of this region later today. Any storm that is able to form late this evening (if any) will likely exhibit supercell characteristics and contain large hail. I might head to Guthrie or El Reno later today and decide what to do from there.

Thursday 17th

Me and Sean observed a few marginally severe storms in central OK yesterday.

Looks like at least a small chance of a chase in the southern plains sometime during the middle of next week. After that, April might be done with and May is just around the corner...