Friday, August 17, 2007

DEAN's forecast track shifted slightly north; may effect Texas

NHC "cone of uncertainty" has shifted a bit further north and the average path would now take Dean over the northern tip of the Yucatan. Of course the less time over the Peninsula would mean Dean would likely stay strong as it emerges back into the Gulf. Here's a look at the track from this morning's update.
The consensus among some of the tropical models has been a bit further north as well; except for GFS and CMC which have been staying to the south. Here is a look at this morning's GFDL run which could spell big trouble if it verified.

1 comment:

Sam Dienst said...

Looks like the path will now take Dean further south into northern Mexico. This is great news for the Texas coast but there still may be hurricane like conditions in south TX next week when it makes landfall.