Thursday, February 21, 2008

Tornado Wacth for Gulf Coast / Cold End to February

A tornado watch has been issued for much of the se TX coast al region along with most of southern Louisiana. Two tornados have been reported so far near the TX/LA border not far north of the coast. A tornado warned cell is persisting northeast of lake Charles as of now and a couple more tornado reports are possible before the day is up.

Looking down the road at some medium-long range models, both ECMWF and GFS develop a large eastern US trough for about the last week of February. For the plains, this means northwest flow aloft with reinforcing sfc highs likely diving down into the Gulf. So it looks like no more chases for February but thats fine with me. March is rapidly approaching as well as spring break. March will likely present at least a few oppurtunities for the southern plains and who could forget the 28th of last year, I'll be watching the pattrern closely and see how it evolves after the east coast trough move on out and hopefully somewhat of a zonal flow in the mid -levels can develop.

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